top of page
Search

YIELD CURVE INVERSION PUTS BULL MARKETS AT RISK

  • Scott Carmack
  • Mar 26, 2019
  • 1 min read

Updated: Mar 11, 2024




Back in August of 2018, we wrote a perspective piece entitled “The Trending Fed.” We concluded that “trending markets and economies are not held hostage to time limits. Picking tops and recession forecasting is often a recipe for failure. However, the first rate cut by the Fed will likely NOT be the last, and it has historically indicated that the trend in the economy and earnings has changed.

 
 

Related Posts

See All
BOND MARKET HISTORYONICS

Merriam-Webster defines the word “histrionic” as overly dramatic or emotional. This is an apt description for both the Federal Reserve...

 
 
GONE FISHING

As we assess the fixed income landscape going into 2022, it looks quite different than that of the last two years. The title of this...

 
 
When the Rate Spike is Real

TREASURIES LOG THE WORST QUARTER SINCE 1980 The first quarter was largely a continuation of the recovery from the March 2020 lows for...

 
 
Holbrook Holdings Logo

Holbrook Income Fund

Holbrook Structured Income Fund

Investors should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of the fund carefully before investing.  The prospectus contains this and other important information about the Fund.  For a current Prospectus, call 1-877-345-8646 or go to www.holbrookholdings.com

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

​

Investments in mutual funds involve risk including possible loss of principal. There is no guarantee that any investment strategy will achieve its objectives, generate profits, or avoid losses. The Fund invests in closed end investment companies or funds. The shares of many closed end funds, after their initial public offering, frequently trade at a price per share that is less than the net asset value per share, the difference representing the “market discount” of such shares.

 

The Fund may be adversely affected by new (or revised) laws or regulations that may be imposed by government regulators or self-regulatory organizations that supervise the financial markets. CLO debt securities are limited recourse obligations of their issuers and may be subject to redemption. Holders of the CLO debt being redeemed will be repaid earlier than the stated maturity of the debt. The timing of redemptions may adversely affect the returns on CLO debt. The CLO manager may not find suitable assets in which to invest during the Reinvestment Period or to replace assets that the manager has determined are no longer suitable for investment.

 

The value of securities issued by the U.S. Government generally fluctuates in response to inflationary concerns and may differ in their interest rates, maturities, times of issuance and other characteristics.

 

The risk that the Fund could lose money if the issuer or guarantor of a fixed income security is unwilling or unable to make timely payments to meet its contractual obligations. The risk that foreign currencies will decline in value relative to the U.S. dollar and adversely affect the value of the Fund’s investments in foreign (non-U.S.) currencies. The derivative instruments in which the Fund may invest for hedging purposes may be more volatile than other instruments.

 

The Fund invests in fixed income securities or derivatives, the value of your investment in the Fund will fluctuate with changes in interest rates. These risks could affect the value of a particular investment by the Fund. Investment in or exposure to high yield (lower rated) debt instruments (also known as “junk bonds”) may involve greater levels of interest rate, credit, liquidity and valuation risk than for higher rated instruments. When the Fund invests in other investment companies, including ETFs, it will bear additional expenses.

 

The risk that investment strategies employed by the Fund’s adviser in selecting investments for the Fund may not result in an increase in the value of your investment. The Adviser’s use of computer trading modeling systems may perform differently than expected as a result of the factors used in the models.

​

Quality ratings reflect the credit quality of the underlying securities in the Fund's portfolio and not that of the Fund itself. Bond ratings are assigned by a rating agency such as Standard & Poors, Moodys, Fitch, Egan Jones, KBRA, or DBRS. The ratings breakdown above utilizes ratings from all ratings agencies – depending which rating agency rated the bond deal. In the event that two rating agencies have rated the same bond deal, the higher credit rating is used. A bond rating evaluates the quality and safety of a bond, examining the issuer’s financial strength and the likelihood that it will be able to meet scheduled repayments. Ratings range from AAA (best) to D (worst). Bonds receiving a rating of BB or below are not considered investment grade because of the relative potential for issuer default.

 

ABS may be more sensitive to changes in interest rates and may results in prepayments which can include the possibility that securities with stated interest rates may have the principal prepaid earlier than expected, which may occur when interest rates may have the principal prepaid earlier than expected, which may occur when interest rates decline. Rates of prepayment faster or slower than expected could reduce the Fund's
yield, increase the volatility of the Fund ad/or cause a decline in NAV.

The Holbrook Income Fund is distributed by Northern Lights Distributors, LLC, member FINRA/SIPC. Holbrook Holdings Inc. is not affiliated with Northern Lights, Distributors, LLC.

bottom of page