THE TRENDING FED
- Scott Carmack
- Aug 24, 2018
- 1 min read
Updated: Mar 11, 2024
Everyone has heard the adage that “the trend is your friend.” It always amazes me how, despite the historical evidence supporting this principle, human nature requires that we embark on a never-ending quest to pick tops – to find divergences and indicators that support the notion that the trend is “about to change.” This speaks to two elements of human nature, I think. One, we are risk-averse, and the fear of losing money or “buying the top” drives investment strategy. And two, humanity has an inherent need to be “right” – to be the prognosticator that “called the top.”